Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Louisville 72%, St. Louis 28% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against St. Louis is trending up — from 25% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against St. Louis is trending up — from 31% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against St. Louis is trending up — from 38% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.