DC at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 3.05
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Monday, June 15, 2026
RATINGS
DC
Louisville 
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
DC
Louisville
| 3 | Overall | 2 |
| 2 | Power | 1 |
| 1 | Offensive | 2 |
| 4 | Defensive | 3 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 1 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Louisville#259%
DC#341%Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Louisville 59%, DC 41% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against DC is trending up — from 10% to 44% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against DC is trending up — from 13% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against DC is trending up — from 18% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville favored
DC favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At DC | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 44% | 51% |
| Wk 1 | 43% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 2 | 20% | 25% | 32% |
| Wk 3 | 7% | 9% | 13% |
| Wk 4 | 6% | 8% | 11% |
| Wk 5 | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Wk 6 | 10% | 13% | 18% |
| Wk 7 | 27% | 33% | 40% |
| Wk 8 | 32% | 39% | 47% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 10 | 41% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 11 | 41% | 48% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
RECORDS
DC
Louisville
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
6-6 (50%) |
Overall |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Home |
3-3 (50%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Away |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 3 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Last 3 Games |
3-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
DC
Louisville
| #1 Orlando | Best Win | #3 DC |
| #4 St. Louis | Worst Loss | #7 Birmingham |
| 38 pts vs #6 Houston | Largest MOV | 22 pts vs #5 Dallas |
| 17 pts vs #2 Louisville | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #4 St. Louis |
OTHER STATISTICS
DC
Louisville
| 27.4 | Points per Game | 26.8 |
| 22.8 | Points Against | 21.6 |
| 26.6 | Home PPG | 23.3 |
| 18.8 | Home PA | 22.2 |
| 28 | Away PPG | 30.2 |
| 25.6 | Away PA | 21 |
| 75-56 | Opponent Record | 65-65 |
| 3.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 4.2 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
DC
Louisville
| Jun 13 | at #2 Louisville (8-4) | L20-27 | Jun 13 | vs #3 DC (6-6) | W27-20 |
| Jun 7 | at #1 Orlando (8-3) | W28-22 | Jun 7 | at St. Louis (6-5) | W29-20 |
| May 31 | vs #1 Orlando (8-3) | L23-29 | May 31 | at Columbus (3-7) | W42-27 |
| May 22 | at #1 Orlando (8-3) | L19-27 | May 24 | vs Dallas (4-6) | W37-23 |
| May 16 | at #2 Louisville (8-4) | L30-33 | May 16 | vs #3 DC (6-6) | W33-30 |
| May 9 | vs #2 Louisville (8-4) | L13-30 | May 9 | at #3 DC (6-6) | W30-13 |
| May 2 | vs Dallas (4-6) | W24-6 | Apr 30 | vs St. Louis (6-5) | L3-16 |
| Apr 24 | at Birmingham (4-6) | W45-28 | Apr 26 | at Dallas (4-6) | W47-25 |
| Apr 18 | vs St. Louis (6-5) | W28-22 | Apr 16 | at Houston (4-6) | W24-22 |
| Apr 11 | vs Houston (4-6) | W45-7 | Apr 10 | vs #1 Orlando (8-3) | L27-29 |
| Apr 3 | at Columbus (3-7) | W44-26 | Apr 4 | at #1 Orlando (8-3) | L9-19 |
| Mar 28 | at St. Louis (6-5) | L10-16 | Mar 27 | vs Birmingham (4-6) | L13-15 |