Birmingham at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 12.94
TOTAL POINTS
45
UPDATED
Monday, June 15, 2026
RATINGS
Birmingham
Louisville 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
60
D-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
RANKINGS
Birmingham
Louisville
| 7 | Overall | 2 |
| 6 | Power | 1 |
| 8 | Offensive | 2 |
| 5 | Defensive | 3 |
| 4 | SoS (Current) | 2 |
| 4 | SoS (Full Season) | 2 |
Louisville#283%
Birmingham#717%Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Louisville 83%, Birmingham 17% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Birmingham is trending up — from 49% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Birmingham is trending up — from 56% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Birmingham is trending up — from 63% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville favored
Birmingham favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Birmingham | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 22% | 28% | 35% |
| Wk 1 | 32% | 38% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 29% | 36% | 43% |
| Wk 3 | 45% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 10 | 70% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 11 | 71% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 12 | 72% | 78% | 83% |
RECORDS
Birmingham
Louisville
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Overall |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
3-3 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Away |
5-1 (83.3%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus Top 3 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Last 3 Games |
3-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Birmingham
Louisville
| #1 Orlando | Best Win | #3 DC |
| #8 Columbus | Worst Loss | #7 Birmingham |
| 11 pts vs #8 Columbus | Largest MOV | 22 pts vs #5 Dallas |
| 17 pts vs #3 DC | Largest MOD | 13 pts vs #4 St. Louis |
OTHER STATISTICS
Birmingham
Louisville
| 19 | Points per Game | 26.8 |
| 22.9 | Points Against | 21.6 |
| 15.2 | Home PPG | 23.3 |
| 21.4 | Home PA | 22.2 |
| 22.8 | Away PPG | 30.2 |
| 24.4 | Away PA | 21 |
| 54-53 | Opponent Record | 65-65 |
| 4.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 4.2 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Birmingham
Louisville
| May 30 | vs Houston (4-6) | L13-26 | Jun 13 | vs #3 DC (6-6) | W27-20 |
| May 23 | at Columbus (3-7) | L29-36 | Jun 7 | at St. Louis (6-5) | W29-20 |
| May 17 | vs Columbus (3-7) | W14-3 | May 31 | at Columbus (3-7) | W42-27 |
| May 9 | vs Dallas (4-6) | W21-17 | May 24 | vs Dallas (4-6) | W37-23 |
| May 3 | at #1 Orlando (8-3) | W20-17 | May 16 | vs #3 DC (6-6) | W33-30 |
| Apr 24 | vs #3 DC (6-6) | L28-45 | May 9 | at #3 DC (6-6) | W30-13 |
| Apr 18 | vs #1 Orlando (8-3) | L0-16 | Apr 30 | vs St. Louis (6-5) | L3-16 |
| Apr 12 | at St. Louis (6-5) | L30-34 | Apr 26 | at Dallas (4-6) | W47-25 |
| Apr 5 | at Houston (4-6) | L20-22 | Apr 16 | at Houston (4-6) | W24-22 |
| Mar 27 | at #2 Louisville (8-4) | W15-13 | Apr 10 | vs #1 Orlando (8-3) | L27-29 |