Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: St. Louis 58%, Houston 42% at Houston.
St. Louis' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 83% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 87% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 90% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.