Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Orlando 69%, Houston 31% at Houston.
Orlando's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 77% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Orlando's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 82% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.
Orlando's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 86% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.