Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Louisville 73%, Houston 27% at Houston.
Louisville's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 68% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 74% to 79% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 80% to 84% over the last 6 weeks.