Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: St. Louis 54%, Dallas 46% at Dallas.
St. Louis' win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 67% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 74% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
St. Louis' win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 79% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.