Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Dallas 62%, Houston 38% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 62% to 47% over the last 6 weeks.
Dallas' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 69% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Dallas' win probability against Houston is trending down — from 75% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.