Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: DC 61%, Orlando 39% at DC.
DC's win probability against Orlando is trending down — from 75% to 46% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Orlando is trending down — from 80% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Orlando is trending down — from 85% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.