Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: DC 83%, Houston 17% at DC.
DC's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 94% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 95% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 97% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.