Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: DC 80%, Dallas 20% at DC.
DC's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 86% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 89% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
DC's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 92% to 80% over the last 6 weeks.