Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Columbus 55%, Birmingham 45% at Columbus.
Columbus' win probability against Birmingham has swung between 32% and 41% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Columbus' win probability against Birmingham has swung between 38% and 48% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Columbus' win probability against Birmingham has swung between 46% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.