Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Birmingham 59%, Houston 41% at Birmingham.
Birmingham's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 62% to 44% over the last 6 weeks.
Birmingham's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 69% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
Birmingham's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 75% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.