Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Birmingham 54%, Dallas 46% at Birmingham.
Birmingham's win probability against Dallas has swung between 40% and 49% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Birmingham's win probability against Dallas has swung between 47% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Birmingham's win probability against Dallas has swung between 54% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.