Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 12 (Jun 15), 2026: Birmingham 60%, Columbus 40% at Birmingham.
Birmingham's win probability against Columbus has swung between 44% and 54% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Birmingham's win probability against Columbus has swung between 52% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Birmingham's win probability against Columbus has swung between 59% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.