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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Winnipeg 57%, Calgary 43% at Winnipeg.
Winnipeg's win probability against Calgary has swung between 48% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Winnipeg's win probability against Calgary has swung between 52% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 53% now.
Winnipeg's win probability against Calgary has swung between 56% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.