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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Seattle 54%, New Jersey 46% at Seattle.
Seattle's win probability against New Jersey has swung between 41% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 46% now.
Seattle's win probability against New Jersey has swung between 45% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Seattle's win probability against New Jersey has swung between 49% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 54% now.