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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Seattle 59%, Calgary 41% at Seattle.
Seattle's win probability against Calgary has swung between 47% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Seattle's win probability against Calgary has swung between 51% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Seattle's win probability against Calgary has swung between 55% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.