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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: New Jersey 60%, Winnipeg 40% at New Jersey.
New Jersey's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 43% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
New Jersey's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 47% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
New Jersey's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 51% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.