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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: New Jersey 65%, Vancouver 35% at New Jersey.
New Jersey's win probability against Vancouver has swung between 44% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
New Jersey's win probability against Vancouver has swung between 48% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 61% now.
New Jersey's win probability against Vancouver has swung between 52% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.