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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Nashville 59%, Calgary 41% at Nashville.
Nashville's win probability against Calgary has swung between 49% and 55% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Nashville's win probability against Calgary has swung between 53% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Nashville's win probability against Calgary has swung between 57% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.