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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Los Angeles 60%, Chicago 40% at Los Angeles.
Los Angeles' win probability against Chicago has swung between 46% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
Los Angeles' win probability against Chicago has swung between 50% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Los Angeles' win probability against Chicago has swung between 54% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.