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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Chicago 52%, Calgary 48% at Chicago.
Chicago's win probability against Calgary has swung between 43% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Chicago's win probability against Calgary has swung between 46% and 55% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 48% now.
Chicago's win probability against Calgary has swung between 50% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.