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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Boston 62%, Chicago 38% at Chicago.
Boston's win probability against Chicago has swung between 54% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Boston's win probability against Chicago has swung between 57% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Boston's win probability against Chicago has swung between 61% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.