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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Calgary 51%, Winnipeg 49% at Calgary.
Calgary's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 36% and 44% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
Calgary's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 40% and 48% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 47% now.
Calgary's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 44% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.