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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Calgary 56%, Chicago 44% at Calgary.
Calgary's win probability against Chicago has swung between 41% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 48% now.
Calgary's win probability against Chicago has swung between 45% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
Calgary's win probability against Chicago has swung between 49% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.