Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 65%, Tennessee 35% at Tennessee.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 45% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 52% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 59% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.