Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tampa Bay by 0.95
TOTAL POINTS
45
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 13, 2026
See this week's NFL predictions
RATINGS
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
| 23 | Overall | 10 |
| 20 | Power | 13 |
| 22 | Offensive | 16 |
| 17 | Defensive | 9 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 13 |
| 16 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Tampa Bay#2353%
Pittsburgh#1047%Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Tampa Bay 53%, Pittsburgh 47% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Pittsburgh has swung between 39% and 44% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 39% now.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Pittsburgh has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Pittsburgh has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay favored
Pittsburgh favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Pittsburgh | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 41% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 41% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 41% | 48% | 55% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 42% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 39% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 41% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 40% | 47% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 39% | 46% | 53% |
RECORDS
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Overall |
3-2 (60%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Away |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 5 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
| #27 Dallas | Best Win | #16 Cincinnati |
| #16 Cincinnati | Worst Loss | #11 Cleveland |
| 8 pts vs #27 Dallas | Largest MOV | 12 pts vs #22 Indianapolis |
| 7 pts vs #3 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #6 New England |
OTHER STATISTICS
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
| 20 | Points per Game | 22.2 |
| 22.4 | Points Against | 21.8 |
| 16.3 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 21 | Home PA | 20.7 |
| 25.5 | Away PPG | 13.5 |
| 24.5 | Away PA | 23.5 |
| 16-9 | Opponent Record | 13-12 |
| 13 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.8 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 1 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh
| Oct 8 | at Dallas (2-3) | W24-16 | Oct 11 | vs Indianapolis (2-3) | W34-22 |
| Oct 4 | vs Green Bay (3-2) | L14-17 | Oct 1 | at Cleveland (3-2) | L24-27 |
| Sep 27 | vs #3 Minnesota (5-0) | L16-23 | Sep 27 | vs Cincinnati (3-2) | W30-27 |
| Sep 20 | vs Cleveland (3-2) | L19-23 | Sep 20 | at New England (3-2) | L3-20 |
| Sep 13 | at Cincinnati (3-2) | L27-33 | Sep 13 | vs Atlanta (2-3) | W20-13 |