Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Tampa Bay 66%, Carolina 34% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Carolina has swung between 31% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Carolina has swung between 38% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Carolina has swung between 44% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.