Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Seattle 55%, San Francisco 45% at Seattle.
Seattle's win probability against San Francisco has swung between 33% and 41% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Seattle's win probability against San Francisco has swung between 40% and 48% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Seattle's win probability against San Francisco has swung between 47% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.