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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Seattle 66%, Dallas 34% at Seattle.
Seattle's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 88% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Seattle's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 91% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Seattle's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 93% to 66% over the last 6 updates.