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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: San Francisco 84%, Miami 16% at San Francisco.
San Francisco's win probability against Miami has swung between 57% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
San Francisco's win probability against Miami has swung between 64% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 80% now.
San Francisco's win probability against Miami has swung between 70% and 84% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 84% now.