Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 70%, Indianapolis 30% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 41% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 48% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 55% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.