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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Philadelphia 51%, Houston 49% at Philadelphia.
Philadelphia's win probability against Houston has swung between 27% and 48% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 37% now.
Philadelphia's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 33% to 44% over the last 6 updates.
Philadelphia's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 40% to 51% over the last 6 updates.