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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Minnesota 66%, New Orleans 34% at New Orleans.
Minnesota's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 48% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Minnesota's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 55% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
Minnesota's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 62% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 77% now.