Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 1 (Sep 15), 2026-27: New England 55%, Las Vegas 45% at New England.
New England's win probability against Las Vegas is trending down — from 84% to 41% over the last 6 updates.
New England's win probability against Las Vegas is trending down — from 88% to 48% over the last 6 updates.
New England's win probability against Las Vegas is trending down — from 91% to 55% over the last 6 updates.