Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NFL predictions →
Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: NY Giants 70%, Tennessee 30% at NY Giants.
NY Giants' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 45% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
NY Giants' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 52% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
NY Giants' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 59% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.