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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Jacksonville 67%, NY Giants 33% at NY Giants.
Jacksonville's win probability against NY Giants has swung between 49% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against NY Giants has swung between 56% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against NY Giants has swung between 63% and 85% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.