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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Minnesota 64%, Carolina 36% at Minnesota.
Minnesota's win probability against Carolina has swung between 46% and 55% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Minnesota's win probability against Carolina has swung between 53% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Minnesota's win probability against Carolina has swung between 59% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.