Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NFL predictions →
Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Las Vegas 67%, Tennessee 33% at Las Vegas.
Las Vegas' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 52% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Las Vegas' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 59% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Las Vegas' win probability against Tennessee has swung between 65% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.