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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: New England 70%, LA Chargers 30% at LA Chargers.
New England's win probability against LA Chargers has swung between 48% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
New England's win probability against LA Chargers has swung between 55% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
New England's win probability against LA Chargers has swung between 61% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 80% now.