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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Kansas City 72%, Indianapolis 28% at Kansas City.
Kansas City's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 54% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Kansas City's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 61% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Kansas City's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 67% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.