Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NFL predictions →
Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Kansas City 84%, Arizona 16% at Kansas City.
Kansas City's win probability against Arizona is trending up — from 61% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Kansas City's win probability against Arizona has swung between 55% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
Kansas City's win probability against Arizona has swung between 61% and 84% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 84% now.