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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Jacksonville 75%, Philadelphia 25% at a neutral site.
Jacksonville's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 39% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 45% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 52% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 80% now.