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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Jacksonville 65%, New England 35% at Jacksonville.
Jacksonville's win probability against New England has swung between 36% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against New England has swung between 42% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against New England has swung between 49% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.