Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Indianapolis 50%, Houston 50% at Indianapolis.
Indianapolis' win probability against Houston has swung between 35% and 48% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 36% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Houston has swung between 41% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Houston has swung between 48% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.