Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Houston 64%, Indianapolis 36% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 38% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Houston's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 45% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Houston's win probability against Indianapolis has swung between 52% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.