Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NFL predictions →
Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Houston 57%, Dallas 43% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 77% to 43% over the last 6 updates.
Houston's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 82% to 50% over the last 6 updates.
Houston's win probability against Dallas is trending down — from 86% to 57% over the last 6 updates.