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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Green Bay 72%, Miami 28% at Green Bay.
Green Bay's win probability against Miami has swung between 44% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.
Green Bay's win probability against Miami has swung between 51% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Green Bay's win probability against Miami has swung between 58% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.