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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Green Bay 58%, Atlanta 42% at Green Bay.
Green Bay's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 35% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Green Bay's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 42% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.
Green Bay's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 49% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.